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Beyond the “Stone Age”: Passive recording to intelligent risk sensing

7 minutes read
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Image of a man checking his phone surrounded by banking and analytics symbols

From simple line-crossing alerts to predictive video analytics that detect faces, objects, and behavior in real time, banking security is evolving fast. As coordinated fraud, ATM crime, and workplace aggression rise across the U.S., institutions can no longer afford to review footage after the fact. Cameras are becoming intelligent risk sensors — delivering actionable intelligence when minutes matter.

When I started in banking security, video analytics were basic. We drew a virtual line across an ATM vestibule door. If someone crossed it and stayed too long, a timer triggered an alarm. That was considered advanced. While it worked, it lacked context.

Today, predictive video analytics go far beyond simple “line cross” events. Modern network cameras can detect a person, identify a face, recognize specific objects, and understand where someone is standing. If someone approaches an ATM with a screwdriver and begins prying at a panel, the system can immediately flag that object and behavior. We no longer have to wait for the damage to be done.

That shift is critical. Criminals are becoming more mobile and opportunistic, increasingly targeting ATMs and even armored car personnel, exploiting predictable branch layouts and response times. Organized groups move quickly across geographic corridors, testing locations and repeating tactics.

We also see this in “jugging” incidents in cities like San Antonio and Houston, where suspects watch customers withdraw cash and follow them to commit theft off-site. These crimes unfold in minutes. By the time someone reviews the footage, the suspect is long gone.

Predictive analytics can help identify suspicious loitering patterns, coordinated movement between individuals, or repeated presence across multiple locations. Real-time facial analytics can alert fraud teams if a known suspect enters Branch A in the morning and Branch B that afternoon. That kind of intelligence turns security from a forensic function into an active defense layer.

The broader market confirms this shift. Demand for AI-powered video analytics is accelerating as organizations prioritize real-time threat detection and more proactive security strategies. That growth reflects a clear message: Institutions are investing in predictive intelligence because reactive models are no longer sufficient.

ATM crime trends reinforce the urgency. Fraud-based attacks, including jackpotting and coordinated cash-outs, are overtaking physical attacks as the most common ATM crimes, with jackpotting and cash-out attacks representing 71% of criminal activity. When fraud overtakes physical smash-and-grab attacks, detection must move upstream. Cameras must sense risk before cash leaves the machine.

Security Plus: Turning Surveillance Into Operational Intelligence

I often hear from regional and community banks that capital budgets are tight. Security leaders struggle to justify upgrades when cameras are “already recording.” This is where perspective matters.

Predictive video analytics are not just security tools. They are business intelligence tools. If I can show the COO or Consumer Executives that we are counting customers in teller lines in real time, that becomes an operational efficiency conversation. Queue management analytics can identify when three people become eight, when daily transaction counts become a thing of the past, and when staffing can adjust by time of day before frustration builds. That improves service and protects brand trust.

If I can provide heat maps indicating where customers spend time inside a branch, branch operations can optimize layouts, marketing displays, and labor schedules. The same system used to detect suspicious behavior can reveal patterns that reduce friction and improve customer experience.

Investigative efficiency is another major gain. In the past, searching through video meant hours of manual review. Today, security teams can use free-text search to find “a red truck” or “a person wearing a hat.” For small departments managing growing caseloads, that is a force multiplier.

We also see large institutions using video analytics to monitor building occupancy and optimize expensive real estate footprints. Reporting has shown global banks expanding AI-driven monitoring to understand office usage and staff movement patterns. Whether you are a national, regional, or community bank or a local credit union, the principle is the same: the data has value beyond security.

When security leaders frame analytics as cross-functional investments — supporting risk, compliance, operations, and customer trust — the conversation changes. Discussions move from cost justification to long-term value, making it easier to secure funding supporting a five- to ten-year roadmap.

Clarifying the Path Forward for Security Leadership

Resistance to new technology in banking is real. I have seen it firsthand.

Often, it stems from a misunderstanding of how the technology actually works. For example, when we talk about biometrics, some leaders picture stored fingerprint images. In reality, those systems convert data into encrypted digital strings. The raw image is not sitting in a database waiting to be stolen. Education is critical.

Security directors need to develop a five- to ten-year plan that aligns with business objectives and answers hard questions:

  • What is our long-term fraud strategy?
  • Are we consolidating legacy systems?
  • Can we reduce our technical debt by consolidating platforms and systems into a unified system?
  • Is our current video management platform capable of advanced analytics?
  • Do our cameras support edge analytics, where intelligence is processed within the camera itself?

Without that roadmap, predictive investments become piecemeal. With it, they become strategic.

Banking has moved from analog cameras and VCRs to networked systems that operate like IT infrastructure. Security is now deeply connected to cyber risk, compliance, and governance. Leadership must be technically curious. The institutions that take time to understand the mechanics are the ones that move forward with confidence.

Addressing Modern Threats with Early Warning Intelligence

Another reality we cannot ignore is the uptick in workplace aggression. Customer-on-employee incidents are rising across industries, including financial services. Providing a safe environment for staff and customers is no longer just a policy statement. It requires early warning capabilities.

Modern systems can detect decibel changes, such as screaming or shouting, and alert a security operations center before a situation escalates. Cameras equipped with advanced analytics can identify a visible firearm in a scene and generate immediate notifications.

That changes the timeline. Instead of reviewing footage after an act of aggression, teams can respond while the incident unfolds.

We are also seeing greater overlap between online fraud and physical threats. Social engineering attacks may begin online, but physical presence in a branch can still play a role in fraud schemes. To stay ahead of these risks, monitoring must recognize signals across both environments rather than treating them as separate silos.

Predictive intelligence connects the dots. It recognizes patterns across movement, behavior, and context.

Invest in a Smarter, Safer Banking Experience — Built for What Comes Next

Recent U.S. crime patterns show that threats rarely announce themselves with a single alarm. They emerge through behavior, repetition, and subtle signals.

Modern banking security is not about watching more video. It is about seeing what matters in real time.

By embracing predictive video analytics as both a security shield and a business intelligence engine, institutions can protect their people, strengthen customer trust, and demonstrate measurable ROI. Cameras are no longer passive recorders mounted on a wall. They are intelligent risk sensors that help teams work smarter, not harder.

If you are building your next five- to ten-year strategy, I encourage you to look beyond recording and start asking how your systems can think and work together as one.  

Explore our banking and finance solutions to begin shaping a predictive security roadmap that supports resilience, compliance, and trust for the decade ahead.

John Illes

John Illes is Segment Development Manager, Banking & Finance at Axis Communications. He brings nearly three decades of leadership in bank security, fraud investigations, and crisis management. John leverages his deep industry expertise to help address evolving threats, regulatory expectations, and operational risks with forward-looking solutions.

John Illes, Segment Development Manager